Morgan Williams, Brigham Young University
Social and Behavioral Sciences
My research intends to answer the question, are the youth today more polarized than they were 25 years ago, and does increased polarization in youth attitudes lead to a higher percentage turnout among youth voters. This is an important area to research because elected officials have never been more polarized on both sides of the ideological scale. It is important to examine possible causes for this polarization, one of which is that these elected officials are catering to the attitudes of the emerging youth voters, causing them to take more polarized stances. Polarization in this research will mean that the divide between the two core ideologies, liberal and conservative has grown wider. This will be measured by looking at an individual’s placement on the ideological scale, if they are liberal learning they will be classified and liberal and the same applies for the conservatives. I will then compare these two groups and there stance on certain issues, such as government spending and abortion, overtime to see if the divide has grown larger. I will be using the American National Election Studies data set to look at youth voting patterns and attitudes from the 1988 presidential election until the 2012 presidential election. I will be defining a youth voter as a voter between the age of 18-29, meaning they could have voted in no more than 2 presidential elections. This research will be done in January and February of 2014, therefore the results of this research are not currently available. I hypothesize that the polarization in the youth voting bloc has not grown wider over time, but fluctuated throughout the years. I also hypothesize that years with a higher level of polarization will lead to a higher turnout among the youth.