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2014 Abstracts

Predicting species distribution of Agave utahensis through environmental niche modeling

Austin Pearce, Brigham Young University

Life Sciences

Agave utahensis acts as a keystone species across its native range in the Mojave Desert and Colorado Plateau (Gentry, 1982). As a keystone species, Utah agave contributes to soil formation along barren mountain ridges, and has provided starch-rich sustenance to Native American tribes. Furthermore, taxonomists consider each of the two subspecies, kaibabensis and utahensis, to have considerable morphological variation (Gentry, 1982) within their own unique ecological niches. Given the importance of Utah agave, the high degree of variation, and its unique ecological niches, there is surprisingly little information published regarding its physiological ecology. In fact, no effort has been made to determine the population densities of Utah agave due to the remoteness of the region and its difficult terrain (e.g., the Grand Canyon). Therefore, geospatial analysis tools specific to environmental niche modeling provide a powerful means through which these issues and knowledge gaps can be effectively addressed. My goal is to develop a species distribution model by joining known locations of Utah agave with climatic and environmental data in MaxEnt and ArcGIS software. Such a model can be used by others for further ecological field studies of Utah agave and its subspecies. Additionally, the approach I employ can be used as a pattern for mapping distributions of other important plant species in remote and difficult-to-access regions of the world.